Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.071714 0.076760 0.082007 0.087879 0.094274 0.101036 0.108740
2025-11-16 0.060069 0.067224 0.075082 0.084386 0.095141 0.107233 0.121925
2025-11-23 0.052635 0.060962 0.070505 0.082318 0.096648 0.113594 0.135335
2025-11-30 0.048424 0.057700 0.068711 0.082867 0.100765 0.122884 0.152666
2025-12-07 0.043829 0.053418 0.065124 0.080643 0.100942 0.126965 0.163468
2025-12-14 0.039600 0.049169 0.061128 0.077394 0.099289 0.128255 0.170356
2025-12-21 0.036878 0.046584 0.058982 0.076256 0.100151 0.132728 0.181739
2025-12-28 0.035363 0.045425 0.058553 0.077284 0.103904 0.141312 0.199600
2026-01-04 0.033875 0.044176 0.057878 0.077854 0.106962 0.149034 0.216793
2026-01-11 0.032154 0.042489 0.056469 0.077244 0.108198 0.154083 0.230236
2026-01-18 0.030727 0.041112 0.055387 0.076991 0.109874 0.159830 0.245215
2026-01-25 0.029056 0.039297 0.053567 0.075511 0.109541 0.162370 0.255064
2026-02-01 0.027224 0.037192 0.051265 0.073232 0.107912 0.162882 0.261814
2026-02-08 0.025788 0.035595 0.049627 0.071872 0.107644 0.165588 0.272704
2026-02-15 0.024509 0.034163 0.048152 0.070662 0.107511 0.168472 0.284167
2026-02-22 0.023816 0.033557 0.047872 0.071289 0.110393 0.176639 0.306175
2026-03-01 0.022566 0.032055 0.046149 0.069495 0.109079 0.177376 0.314061
2026-03-08 0.021185 0.030297 0.043951 0.066804 0.106049 0.174810 0.315161
2026-03-15 0.020311 0.029279 0.042855 0.065860 0.105969 0.177548 0.327153
2026-03-22 0.019907 0.028965 0.042848 0.066721 0.109102 0.186429 0.352770
2026-03-29 0.019442 0.028534 0.042628 0.067197 0.111564 0.194221 0.376986
2026-04-05 0.018794 0.027787 0.041863 0.066689 0.112177 0.198473 0.393920
2026-04-12 0.018246 0.027175 0.041289 0.066477 0.113317 0.203833 0.413964